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2012, Issue 2 (14). AbstractsE.S. Kutsenko, Institute for Statistical Studies and Economics of Knowledge, National Research University - Higher School of Economics, Moscow, Russia
Path Dependence in Spatial Distribution of Economic Activity: Bad News for Empiric Research of Agglomeration Effects It is considered that concentrations of economic activity in the market economy are formed according to the balance of agglomeration effects. Actually this scientific idealization is far from a reality. Agglomeration effects change much faster, than spatial distribution of economic activity. This phenomenon can be well described by the path dependency theory. Key words: spatial distribution of economic activity, agglomeration effects, path dependency
Binary Classification of Objects with Nominal Indicators In this work a problem is studied of classification of respondents into classes accepting and not participation in a charity actions. An optimal (in Bayes sense) decisive discriminant rule of division of objects on two classes is constructed for the case when all indicators of observable objects are measured in a nominal scale, and there are signs of dependence between them . Using ROC-analysis methods, comparison of the developed rule with a rule implemented in the software package SPSS (Fisher’s discriminant rule), «naive» Bayesian classifier, a rule based on support vector machines (SVM) method and implemented in SPSS package binary logistic regression classifier is made. Results of the ROC-analysis have shown that the proposed rule has higher quality than all other mentioned rules of classification of respondents. Key words: discriminant analysis, solving rule, Bayes solution, Fisher’s linear rule, binary logistic regression, support vector machines method, ROC-curve, AUC indicator
Index of Exchange Market Pressure (EMP): Specifics of Emerging Markets This article discusses the methodological approaches to the definition of the index of exchange market pressure, considers its application. EMP is calculated for 49 developed and emerging countries, particularly for the analysis of integration processes between the economies. The results can be recommended to develop the anti-crisis economic policy. Key words: anti-crisis policy, index of exchange market pressure, developing countries, Russian financial market
Does Abundance of Natural Resources Impair Investments in Education? Case of Russian Regions Using panel data for Russian regions in 2004–2009, I find some evidence that everything else (including per capita GDP) being equal natural resource abundance is associated with lower public spending on education in Russian regions. Meanwhile I don’t find any connection between the total (including private) spending on education and natural resources wealth.
Problems of the Insurance Pension System Formation in the Russian Federation Underway "The Long-term strategy of social and economic development of Russia until 2030" (Stragedy-2020) pension system problems of our state were put at the forefront as one of the main macroeconomic factors which importance dramatically exceeds the currency and oil and gas components. In the article the real factors defining development of pension system of the Russian Federation are actuarially settled down, and perspectives of the pension budget stability in terms of insurance principles are defined. Key words: pension system, insurance pension system, pension rights of insured persons, government liabilities, incomes and expenses of the budget of Pension Fund, Russian Federation, insurance contributions, pension accruals
What is Entrepreneurship and What Entrepreneurship Policy Does Russia Need? (Marginal Notes on Works of Modern Foreign Classics) The article analyses the characteristics of small and medium sized enterprises and state policy towards SME in modern Russia – in the context of some rather unknown for the Russian experts evidences of last decades, formulated in the works of leading world researchers concerning the role of entrepreneurship, its conditions of development and institutional design of the state policy to promote entrepreneurial activity and innovations. Key words: entrepreneurship, entrepreneurship policy, foreign experience, innovations, venture capital, Russian institutions Back | ||
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